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Japan discovers up to $26.29 billion in cobalt and nickel

Japan’s recent discovery of significant nickel and cobalt deposits has the potential to reshape the countries position in the global resource supply chain. Found near Minami-Tori-Shima Island, an island 1200 miles from Tokyo, these underwater nodules hold promise for Japan economic future.

This discovery, made by a joint team from the Nippon Foundation and the University of Tokyo, has revealed 610,000 metric tons of cobalt and 740,000 metric tons of nickel. Current estimates place the value of these metals at roughly $26.29 billion. The deposits spread across an area of the seabed and reaches depths of 5,200 and 7,400 meters, all within Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone. These materials are vital components for producing electric vehicle batteries, wind turbines and other advanced technologies. These discoveries could significantly reduce Japan’s dependence on cobalt and nickel imports.

The plan is to begin extracting materials by 2025. However, there are significant environmental implications to a deep-sea mining operation in this region. It is estimated that up to 40% of marine life could be destroyed based on existing studies on deep sea mining. Geopolitically this could give an edge as countries compete for critical materials for technology.

Similarly, Norway has identified vast mineral deposits within its Exclusive Economic Zone in the Norwegian and Greenland seas. Rich in cobalt, copper, and earth elements these deposits could meet global demands for years. Norwegian companies Loke Minerals and Green Minerals are two companies that have applied for licenses. Norway plans to award its seabed exploration licenses by 2025. There have been applications for a variety of blocks covering 280,000 square kilometres, with Green Minerals nominating four specific areas for themselves.

According to the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Norway’s continental shelf contains an estimated 38 million metric tons of copper alongside cobalt and rare earth metals. Estimated values for copper is around $8,000 per ton, cobalt $35,000 per ton, and with other rare earth metals the potential value could be from $600 billion to over $1 trillion, depending on recoverable quantity and operational feasibility. These figures are an estimation and real economic benefits for Norway are yet to be accurately estimated.

If successfully developed, these resources could diversify Norway’s traditional reliance on oil and gas. However, the challenges including environmental concerns, technological hurdles and high costs associated with deep sea mining are yet to be addressed. Timelines suggest that mining might not begin until the 2030s.




Japan Discovers $26.29 Billion in Cobalt and Nickel

Japan’s recent discovery of significant nickel and cobalt deposits near Minami-Tori-shima Island, about 1,200 miles from Tokyo, could reshape its position in the global resource supply chain. These underwater nodules hold immense promise for Japan’s economic future.

The discovery, made by a joint team from The Nippon Foundation and the University of Tokyo, has identified 610,000 metric tons of cobalt and 740,000 metric tons of nickel, with a combined estimated value of approximately $26.29 billion. These deposits are located on the seabed at depths between 5,200 and 7,400 meters, entirely within Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ). These metals are critical for producing electric vehicle batteries, wind turbines, and other advanced technologies, and their extraction could significantly reduce Japan’s dependence on imports.

Environmental and Geopolitical Implications

Japan plans to begin extracting these materials by 2025, but significant environmental concerns accompany this initiative. Studies suggest that up to 40% of marine life in affected areas could be destroyed due to deep-sea mining activities. Balancing economic gain with environmental stewardship will be essential. Geopolitically, this discovery could provide Japan with a strategic edge in the competition for critical materials necessary for modern technology and renewable energy transitions.

Norway’s Vast Mineral Deposits

Similarly, Norway has identified extensive mineral reserves within its EEZ in the Norwegian and Greenland Seas. These deposits are rich in cobalt, copper, and rare earth elements, with the potential to meet global demand for years. Norwegian companies, including Loke Minerals and Green Minerals, have already applied for licenses to explore these areas. Norway plans to award its first seabed exploration licenses by 2025, covering 280,000 square kilometers. Green Minerals has nominated four specific areas for exploration.

Resource Estimates and Economic Potential

According to the Norwegian Petroleum Directorate, Norway’s continental shelf contains an estimated 38 million metric tons of copper, alongside significant quantities of cobalt and rare earth metals. Based on current market prices:
• Copper: Approx. $8,000 per ton
• Cobalt: Approx. $35,000 per ton
This positions the estimated value of Norway’s mineral resources at $600 billion to over $1 trillion, depending on recoverable quantities and operational feasibility. These figures highlight the substantial economic potential of Norway’s seabed resources.

Challenges and Future Outlook

If successfully developed, these resources could diversify Norway’s economy, reducing its reliance on oil and gas. However, several challenges remain, including environmental concerns, technological hurdles, and high extraction costs. The timeline for mining suggests operations may not begin until the 2030s, given the need for extensive exploration, environmental studies, and technology development.

Both Japan and Norway’s discoveries illustrate the growing importance of seabed mining in securing critical materials for the global energy transition. While these initiatives hold significant economic promise, they also underscore the pressing need to address environmental and ethical concerns to ensure sustainable resource extraction.

Guinea Junta dissolves 53 political parties and with 54 more ‘Under Observation’

On October 28, 2024, the National Committee of Reconciliation and Development (CRND) announced that it was dissolving 53 political parties and investigating 54 more. This comes from attempts to restructure Guinea’s national political climate. However, this has produced more scrutiny on the junta due to further delays of returning a democratic civilian government.

Guinea’s Ministry of Territorial Administration produced a 180-page report that ordered the dissolution of 53 political parties and a 3-month suspension of 54 more. Lieutenant Colonel Mamady Doumbouya, who led the 2021 coup, had previously pledged to restore civilian rule by the end of 2024 but has since admitted that this will not happen in the near future.

The alleged criteria for dissolution and investigation were non-compliance with legislation. Some examples were parties having no registered national office, no valid licence or valid financial accounts. Anti-junta organisations such as the Rally of the Guinean People (RPG), led by exiled former president Condé, are among the groups being investigated. The CRND claims that Guinea's political scene is too convoluted, with over 180 parties which is hindering effective governance. However, there are allegations that this aims reduce political opposition against the junta. The African Union (AU) and the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) are arguing that this move is an aim to limit Guinea’s political pluralism under the guise of legal restricting.

The Coup

In September 2021, the Guinean military launched a coup aiming to dismantle the government led by then president, Alpha Condé. Widley criticized for corruption and supressing opposition, Condé had amended the constitution to secure himself a third term in 2020. This ultimately led to the military intervention. On September 5, 2021, Colonel Doumbouya announced the dissolution of the government and the formation of the National Committee of Reconciliation and Development. The aims of the CRND were to reinstate the constitution and restore democracy in Guinea.

The AU and ECOWAS condemned the coup and asked for the release of Condé and a swift return to civilian rule. ECOWAS imposed sanctions on CRND leaders and called for elections within six months. The CRND refused stating that Guinea needed more time to stabilise before an election.

International reactions to this latest decree have been strong. ECOWAS, which imposed sanctions following the 2021 coup, expressed concerns over Guinea's prolonged transition period. Guinea-Bissau’s president and ECOWAS chairman, Umaro Sissoco Embaló, has publicly criticized the CRND, urging them to establish a timeline for democratic elections.

The Situation Room - April 30th

Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba met Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos Jr. in Manila this week, vowing to “substantially upgrade” bilateral security cooperation amid mounting Chinese pressure in the South China Sea and around Taiwan. The visit, which overlapped with joint Japan-Philippines-U.S. naval drills, highlighted both countries’ intent to move beyond symbolic partnership and into legally binding defense arrangements.​ Beijing’s coast-guard swarming of Second Thomas Shoal, recor...

Israel has resumed airstrikes on Gaza

Israel has resumed airstwikes on Gaza, ending a nearly two-month ceasefire. Essam al-Da’alis, head of H+mas’s Government Administrative Committee was k*lled in an airstwike, along with various other H*mas leaders. Claims of over 400 Palestinians have been k*lled, according to Gaza Interior Ministry.

The ceasefire, which began on January 19, 2025, was meant to last six weeks but was extended due to ongoing negotiations over hostage and prisoner exchanges. Talks collapsed, with both Israel and Hamas blaming each other.

Israel claims H*mas refused to release remaining hostages and rejected ceasefire extensions. H*mas accuses Israel of failing to meet agreements on prisoner releases and aid deliveries. As a result, the IDF launched widespread stwikes, targeting what they describe as Hamas military infrastructure.

White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt confirmed that Israel had consulted with the United States prior to launching airstwikes on Gaza, stating, “The Trump administration and the White House were consulted by the Israelis on their attacks in Gaza tonight.” “As President Trump has made it clear, H*mas, the Houthis, Iran—all those who seek to te*rorize not just Israel, but also the United States of America—will see a price to pay: all hel will break loose.”

(A)Political - April 19th

Tulsi Gabbard has spearheaded Trump’s directive to release files related to RFK Sr., and the first tranche of documents has just been released. Trump directly states he will “just take a pass” on peace efforts if either Russia or Ukraine fail to agree to ceasefire terms. Residing Fellow Ciaran Brownlee gives a timeline and analysis of Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs. The documents, now available through the National Archives website, were declassified under a directive from President Donald Tr...

The Situation Room - January 1st

Myanmar, or Burma, is a country located in Southeast Asia, bordering China, Thailand, and Laos to the east and Bangladesh, India, and the Bay of Bengal to the west. In World War 2 Myanmar was a strategic front in the war against the Imperial Japanese Army, with the various ethnicities that call Burma home aiding Allied forces. Since independence from the British Crown in 1948, Myanmar has been in a perpetual state of war. This is due to various factors such as ethnic and religious tensions betwe...

The BLUF - February 4th

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Table Stakes - December 23rd

Former President Donald Trump has suggested that the United States regain sole control of the Panama Canal. In a post on Truth Social, Trump accused Panama of imposing unfair transit fees on U.S. vessels and hinted at taking action to prevent the canal from falling under foreign influence, particularly China. During a Turning Point USA conference in Phoenix on Sunday evening, Trump stated he would not allow the canal to be mismanaged, suggesting it was a matter of U.S. national security. Followi...